Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000701 0.000803 0.000910 0.001033 0.001168 0.001312 0.001476
2025-02-16 0.000532 0.000670 0.000828 0.001019 0.001242 0.001495 0.001799
2025-02-23 0.000452 0.000608 0.000794 0.001029 0.001315 0.001649 0.002064
2025-03-02 0.000391 0.000557 0.000765 0.001037 0.001379 0.001790 0.002315
2025-03-09 0.000328 0.000495 0.000712 0.001007 0.001389 0.001860 0.002475
2025-03-16 0.000276 0.000442 0.000664 0.000976 0.001393 0.001918 0.002619
2025-03-23 0.000244 0.000410 0.000641 0.000974 0.001430 0.002017 0.002814
2025-03-30 0.000217 0.000382 0.000621 0.000974 0.001467 0.002115 0.003009
2025-04-06 0.000191 0.000354 0.000596 0.000964 0.001490 0.002192 0.003177
2025-04-13 0.000166 0.000324 0.000567 0.000946 0.001498 0.002249 0.003317
2025-04-20 0.000154 0.000314 0.000566 0.000967 0.001563 0.002383 0.003564
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000302 0.000561 0.000982 0.001617 0.002503 0.003792
2025-05-04 0.000124 0.000278 0.000535 0.000965 0.001625 0.002560 0.003938
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000255 0.000509 0.000944 0.001626 0.002607 0.004070
2025-05-18 0.000099 0.000244 0.000503 0.000955 0.001675 0.002723 0.004301
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000233 0.000496 0.000962 0.001717 0.002829 0.004520
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000212 0.000468 0.000934 0.001703 0.002851 0.004618
2025-06-08 0.000066 0.000192 0.000441 0.000905 0.001686 0.002868 0.004709
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000182 0.000430 0.000904 0.001711 0.002949 0.004892
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.000172 0.000420 0.000903 0.001738 0.003032 0.005081
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000161 0.000406 0.000894 0.001750 0.003092 0.005236
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000149 0.000389 0.000877 0.001747 0.003129 0.005356
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000146 0.000391 0.000897 0.001809 0.003267 0.005632